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JBoss And The Impact Of An 85% OSS Renewal Rate


Savio Rodrigues By: Savio Rodrigues

Another tidbit that David Skok (JBoss VC) gave at OSBC was that the JBoss support renewal rate was 85% (likely at the time that JBoss was sold to Red Hat).

It seems strange that a customer would buy support in year 1 and then decide not to renew the support agreement in year 2. Remember, 15% isn’t chump change. An 85% renewal rate means that you have to “grow” 15% just to stay flat with your previous year’s # of customers, or potentially, revenue. In most software markets, 15% is about 1.5x or more of the market growth rate.

Why didn’t the 15% renew?
1] The OSS product is no longer being used, in favour of a different (OSS?) product

2] The application running on the OSS product is no longer required

3] The level of support that a paid subscription/license provides didn’t meet the customer need (either because of under utilization of support or under-delivery of the support experience)

4] Something else?

You can’t do much about #1 or #2, although you’d hope that growing use of OSS, and in particular, your OSS product, would ensure a near 100% renewal rate with customers you already had.

But #3 appears to be a much larger concern. What happens when 15% of your current paying customers decide they can use your OSS product without paying you a dollar. Worse still, these are users you convinced to buy support/license from the mass of non-paying users.

Customers surely realize that their support/license payments enable the OSS vendor to continue developing the product in question.

Sure, you get some free development from the community, but 95%+ is still done by the vendor’s employees. What happens when more and more customers pass the “pay for continued development” buck and simply become users???

Traditional software renewals rates aren’t 100%. But you’d expect higher than 85% from OSS, since conventional wisdom tells us OSS tracks closer to customer needs and does away with the ‘pitfalls’ of the traditional software business model.

About The Author

Savio Rodrigues is a product manager with IBM's WebSphere Software division. He envisions a day when open source and traditional software live in harmony. This site contains Savio's personal views. IBM does not necessarily agree with the views expressed here.

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